MCG v3 Intelligence
Confidence scoring, market regime, portfolio heat και paper-only decisions.
ENABLED
Minimum Confidence
80
Total Decisions
500
Shadow Reviews
496
Last Action
REJECT_CONFIDENCE
Paper Pause
NONE
Performance Summary
Virtual Trader
Total Profit
19,723.39
Total Loss
-24,142.70
Closed Net
-4,419.31
Open PnL
163.95
Net With Open
-4,255.36
Paper Trader
Total Profit
187.06
Total Loss
-741.64
Net
-554.58
Closed Trades
13
Balance
9,445.42
Profit Lock Simulation
Benefit
1,503.72
Hypothetical PnL
1,420.78
Actual Triggered PnL
-82.94
Triggered
76
Negative Benefit
25 / 1
Readiness
NOT READY
Profit Edge Audit
Verdict
NO_EDGE
Closed Trades
64
Net PnL
-32.58
Profit Factor
0.76
Expectancy / Trade
-0.51
Win Rate
50.00%
Edge By Strategy
| Strategy | Trades | Net | PF | Expectancy | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALANCED / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET | 6 | 3.59 | 5.55 | 0.60 | EDGE_FOUND |
| AGGRESSIVE / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET | 25 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.01 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| CONSERVATIVE / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET | 23 | -3.85 | 0.90 | -0.17 | NO_EDGE |
| CASE_B_BALANCED_COMPOUNDING | 3 | -2.42 | 0.74 | -0.81 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| BALANCED / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / HARD_TARGET | 7 | -30.14 | 0.04 | -4.31 | NO_EDGE |
Edge By Score Range
| Score | Trades | Net | PF | Expectancy | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90-100 | 30 | 7.53 | 1.11 | 0.25 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| 70-79 | 1 | -0.39 | 0.00 | -0.39 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| 80-89 | 33 | -39.72 | 0.44 | -1.20 | NO_EDGE |
Edge By Symbol
| Symbol | Trades | Win Rate | Net | Profit Factor | Expectancy | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REUSDT | 1 | 100.00% | 5.73 | 999.00 | 5.73 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| KAITOUSDT | 1 | 100.00% | 4.89 | 999.00 | 4.89 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| XRPUSDT | 2 | 100.00% | 9.68 | 999.00 | 4.84 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| SNDKBUSDT | 3 | 100.00% | 14.37 | 999.00 | 4.79 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| VANAUSDT | 1 | 100.00% | 4.78 | 999.00 | 4.78 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| ENAUSDT | 1 | 100.00% | 4.14 | 999.00 | 4.14 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| DEXEUSDT | 3 | 66.67% | 11.12 | 24.61 | 3.71 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
| ADAUSDT | 3 | 66.67% | 5.64 | 2.85 | 1.88 | NEEDS_MORE_DATA |
Profit Edge Policy
Status
ATTACK_SELECTIVE
Edge Found
1
Needs Data
2
No Edge
2
| Attack candidates | BALANCED / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET |
|---|---|
| Blocked from Phase 4 | CONSERVATIVE / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET BALANCED / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / HARD_TARGET |
| Observation only | AGGRESSIVE / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET CASE_B_BALANCED_COMPOUNDING |
| Next action | Promote only EDGE_FOUND strategies in virtual testing; block NO_EDGE strategies from Phase 4 |
| Rule | Profit Edge controls attack selection. Profit Lock remains a safety layer only. |
Attack Filter Report
Mode
OBSERVE_ONLY
Candidates
20
Allowed
0
Rejected Confidence
20
Rejected Discovery
0
| Primary edge strategy | BALANCED / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET |
|---|---|
| Policy mode | Observe-only. Does not block Discovery, Paper Trader, or Virtual Trader. |
| Symbol | Discovery | v3 Confidence | Regime | Action | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETHUSDT | 92 | 67 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| KAITOUSDT | 87 | 68 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| BNBUSDT | 85 | 65 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| BCHUSDT | 84 | 62 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| SOLUSDT | 83 | 66 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| XRPUSDT | 83 | 62 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| VANAUSDT | 82 | 69 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| SUIUSDT | 82 | 59 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| AEROUSDT | 79 | 70 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| ENAUSDT | 79 | 59 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| PEPEUSDT | 79 | 68 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| ONDOUSDT | 78 | 62 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| LAUSDT | 78 | 68 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| DOGEUSDT | 77 | 61 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| REUSDT | 76 | 57 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| AAVEUSDT | 74 | 61 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| PUMPUSDT | 72 | 65 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| BTCUSDT | 72 | 65 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| XPLUSDT | 66 | 58 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
| ZECUSDT | 66 | 61 | neutral | OBSERVE_REJECT_CONFIDENCE | v3 confidence below attack threshold |
Attack Candidate Lab
Mode
OBSERVE_ONLY
Attack Ready
0
Near Attack
4
Scout Attack
0
Blocked Regime
0
Blocked Weak Signal
16
Memory 24h
4 / 4
| Closest to attack | SOLUSDT confidence 77 gap 3 |
|---|---|
| Primary edge strategy | BALANCED / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET |
| Purpose | Find aggressive candidates and show the exact blocker before changing trading behavior. |
| Opportunity memory | Keeps NEAR_ATTACK and SCOUT_ATTACK snapshots so short attack windows are not lost when the market moves. |
| Memory Symbol | Seen | Best Confidence | Best Discovery | First Price | Latest Price | Last Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOLUSDT | 1 | 77 | 83 | 75.96 | 75.96 | NEAR_ATTACK |
| ETHUSDT | 1 | 75 | 80 | 1,944.38 | 1,944.38 | NEAR_ATTACK |
| BTCUSDT | 1 | 75 | 80 | 65,035.00 | 65,035.00 | NEAR_ATTACK |
| BNBUSDT | 1 | 74 | 82 | 574.83 | 574.83 | NEAR_ATTACK |
| Symbol | Discovery | Confidence | Gap | Regime | Verdict | Blockers | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOLUSDT | 83 | 77 | 3 | bull | NEAR_ATTACK | CONFIDENCE_GAP | CONFIDENCE_77 REGIME_BULL VOLUME_STRONG VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG |
| ETHUSDT | 80 | 75 | 5 | bull | NEAR_ATTACK | CONFIDENCE_GAP | CONFIDENCE_75 REGIME_BULL VOLUME_STRONG VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG |
| BTCUSDT | 80 | 75 | 5 | bull | NEAR_ATTACK | CONFIDENCE_GAP | CONFIDENCE_75 REGIME_BULL VOLUME_STRONG VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG |
| BNBUSDT | 82 | 74 | 6 | bull | NEAR_ATTACK | CONFIDENCE_GAP | CONFIDENCE_74 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| VANAUSDT | 79 | 71 | 9 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_71 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| DOGEUSDT | 77 | 71 | 9 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_71 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| XRPUSDT | 78 | 70 | 10 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_70 REGIME_BULL VOLUME_STRONG VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG |
| AEROUSDT | 76 | 69 | 11 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_69 REGIME_BULL VOLUME_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| AAVEUSDT | 75 | 69 | 11 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_69 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| ZECUSDT | 71 | 69 | 11 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_69 REGIME_BULL VOLUME_STRONG VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG |
| AVAXUSDT | 74 | 68 | 12 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_68 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| ZAMAUSDT | 61 | 68 | 12 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_68 REGIME_BULL LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| KAITOUSDT | 76 | 67 | 13 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_67 REGIME_BULL LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| XPLUSDT | 72 | 66 | 14 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_66 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| ENAUSDT | 69 | 66 | 14 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_66 REGIME_BULL LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| SHIBUSDT | 65 | 66 | 14 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_66 REGIME_BULL LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| SUIUSDT | 68 | 65 | 15 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_65 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| LTCUSDT | 67 | 64 | 16 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_64 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| ADAUSDT | 64 | 63 | 17 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_63 REGIME_BULL VOLATILITY_STRONG LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
| PENGUUSDT | 65 | 58 | 22 | bull | BLOCKED_WEAK_SIGNAL | CONFIDENCE_GAP DISCOVERY_GAP | CONFIDENCE_58 REGIME_BULL MOMENTUM_WEAK LIQUIDITY_STRONG MARKET_REGIME_STRONG |
Attack Breadth Gate
Status
BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH
Positive 1h
10.00%
Positive 4h
30.00%
Leader Weak
1
Weak Volatility
1
| Reason | BTC or ETH breadth is weak |
|---|---|
| Probe gate status | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH NEW PROBES BLOCKED |
| Leader | 1h | 4h | 12h | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | -0.05% | -1.81% | -2.67% | WEAK |
| ETHUSDT | - | - | - | OK |
Attack Recovery Gate
Status
WAIT_ATTACK_RECOVERY
Probe Policy
BLOCK_NEW_ATTACK_PROBES
Recovery Score
0 / 6
Failed
6
Leader Recovery
0
| Reason | Recovery confirmation is not strong enough yet |
|---|---|
| Probe report recovery gate | BLOCK_NEW_ATTACK_PROBES NEW PROBES BLOCKED |
| Minimum recovery | positive 1h >= 60%, positive 4h >= 55%, BTC/ETH recovering, stopped probes <= 1 |
| Gate | Status | Actual | Required | Blocking reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breadth is not blocking attacks | FAIL | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | not BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | Market breadth still blocks attack probes |
| Top candidates positive 1h recovery | FAIL | 10 | >= 60% | Need stronger 1h participation before attack recovery |
| Top candidates positive 4h recovery | FAIL | 30 | >= 55% | Need stronger 4h participation before attack recovery |
| BTC and ETH recovery confirmation | FAIL | {"leader_weak_count":1,"recovering_leaders":0} | 0 weak and 2 recovering leaders | BTC/ETH have not confirmed recovery |
| Stopped probe pressure cooled down | FAIL | 3 | <= 1 | Too many stopped probes remain in the latest attack batch |
| Failure recommendation clear | FAIL | ADD_MARKET_BREADTH_CONFIRMATION | not ADD_MARKET_BREADTH_CONFIRMATION / REQUIRE_TREND_CONFIRMATION | Failure report still asks for confirmation |
| Leader | 1h | 4h | 12h | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | -0.05% | -1.81% | -2.67% | NOT_RECOVERING |
| ETHUSDT | - | - | - | NOT_RECOVERING |
| Blocking reasons |
|---|
| Market breadth still blocks attack probes |
| Need stronger 1h participation before attack recovery |
| Need stronger 4h participation before attack recovery |
| BTC/ETH have not confirmed recovery |
| Too many stopped probes remain in the latest attack batch |
| Failure report still asks for confirmation |
Recovery Watch
Signal
WAIT_RECOVERY
Gate
WAIT_ATTACK_RECOVERY
Confirmed Runs
0
History
28
Transitions
0
| Reason | Recovery is not confirmed |
|---|---|
| Probe policy | BLOCK_NEW_ATTACK_PROBES |
| Leader | Previous | Current | 1h | 4h | 12h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | NOT_RECOVERING | NOT_RECOVERING | -0.05% | -1.81% | -2.67% |
| ETHUSDT | NOT_RECOVERING | NOT_RECOVERING | - | - | - |
| Time | Signal | Score | Leaders | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T18:07:15+03:00 | WAIT_RECOVERY | 0 / 6 | 0 | Recovery is not confirmed |
| 2026-07-31T09:14:52+03:00 | WAIT_RECOVERY | 1 / 6 | 0 | Recovery is not confirmed |
| 2026-07-31T08:19:58+03:00 | EARLY_RECOVERY | 3 / 6 | 0 | Recovery is forming but not confirmed |
| 2026-07-30T08:35:54+03:00 | WAIT_RECOVERY | 2 / 6 | 0 | Recovery is not confirmed |
| 2026-07-30T08:34:15+03:00 | WAIT_RECOVERY | 2 / 6 | 0 | Recovery is not confirmed |
| 2026-07-29T20:20:25+03:00 | WAIT_RECOVERY | 1 / 6 | 0 | Recovery is not confirmed |
| 2026-07-29T16:11:46+03:00 | WAIT_RECOVERY | 0 / 6 | 0 | Recovery is not confirmed |
| 2026-07-29T08:23:02+03:00 | EARLY_RECOVERY | 3 / 6 | 0 | Recovery is forming but not confirmed |
Watch Next Runner
| Command | php /home/musifon/mcg-private/mcg_v3_watch_next.php |
|---|---|
| Runs | Breadth Gate → Recovery Gate → Recovery Watch → Probe Report → Phase 4 Readiness → M4 Learning Snapshot → M4 Learning History → M4 Recommendation Engine → Recovery Unlock Criteria → Unlock Progress Memory → Market State → Risk-Off Journal → Risk-Off Exit Plan → Explain Layer → Beginner Decision History |
| Purpose | One clean watch cycle for deciding whether we wait, observe recovery, prepare Phase 4, record repeated learning patterns, produce an M4 recommendation, identify unlock blockers, measure unlock progress trend, freeze attack posture, validate whether the freeze is protecting the system, prepare a controlled freeze exit, explain the decision in beginner-friendly language, or remember whether beginner guidance stayed protective. |
Beginner Explain Layer
Beginner Status
DEFENSE
Recommendation
DO_NOT_TRADE
Market
RISK_OFF
Exit
HOLD_FREEZE
Phase 4
PHASE_4_BLOCKED
| Με απλά λόγια | Η πλατφόρμα κρατάει άμυνα. Βλέπει ακόμα αρκετούς λόγους να μην ανοίξει επιθετική κίνηση. |
|---|---|
| Τι κάνουμε τώρα | Συνέχισε την παρακολούθηση. Το σωστό τώρα είναι υπομονή. |
| Γιατί | Η πλατφόρμα βλέπει ακόμα άμυνα, αρνητικές δοκιμές ή ανεπαρκή ανάκαμψη. |
| Τι δεν κάνουμε | Μην ανοίξεις νέο πραγματικό trade και μην ανοίξεις νέα επιθετική δοκιμή. |
| Topic | Technical | Simple | Advice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Κατάσταση αγοράς | Market State: RISK_OFF | action=FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES | Η αγορά θεωρείται ακόμα επικίνδυνη για επιθετικές κινήσεις. | Κράτα άμυνα και περίμενε καλύτερη εικόνα. |
| Ανάκαμψη αγοράς | Recovery: WAIT_RECOVERY | BTC=NOT_RECOVERING | ETH=NOT_RECOVERING | Δεν έχουν ανακάμψει και οι δύο βασικοί οδηγοί της αγοράς. Χωρίς αυτούς, η ανάκαμψη δεν είναι αρκετά αξιόπιστη. | Περίμενε να δούμε BTC και ETH σε RECOVERING και ιδανικά Recovery CONFIRMED. |
| Δοκιμαστικές επιθετικές κινήσεις | Probes: net=-8.8287% | target=0 | stop=3 | Οι δοκιμαστικές επιθετικές κινήσεις έχασαν χρήματα και καμία δεν έφτασε στον στόχο κέρδους. | Μην ανοίξεις επίθεση μέχρι να υπάρξει τουλάχιστον ένα καθαρό target hit. |
| Ξεκλείδωμα συστήματος | Unlock: LOCKED | 0/9 | progress=0% | trend=DETERIORATING | Η πλατφόρμα παραμένει κλειδωμένη για επιθετικές κινήσεις. Δεν έχουν περάσει αρκετά κριτήρια ασφαλείας. | Περίμενε περισσότερα κριτήρια να περάσουν και το trend να μείνει βελτιωτικό. |
| Έξοδος από άμυνα | Risk-Off Exit: HOLD_FREEZE | 0/9 | Δεν είμαστε ακόμα έτοιμοι να βγούμε από άμυνα. Πέρασαν λίγα από τα κριτήρια εξόδου. | Μείνε σε freeze. Συνέχισε Watch Next. |
| Πραγματική ετοιμότητα | Phase 4: PHASE_4_BLOCKED | M4=KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY | Η πλατφόρμα δεν θεωρεί ακόμα ασφαλές να περάσει σε ελεγχόμενη εκτέλεση. | Μην κάνεις πραγματικό trade. Χρησιμοποίησε τα σήματα μόνο για παρακολούθηση. |
| Για να ξεκλειδώσει θέλουμε |
|---|
| Market State still freezes attack probes |
| Market breadth does not fully allow attack observation |
| Recovery Watch has not confirmed recovery |
| BTC and ETH are not both recovering |
| Unlock progress is not strong enough |
| Stopped probe pressure is still too high |
| Term | Simple meaning |
|---|---|
| Risk-Off | Η αγορά δείχνει επικίνδυνη, οπότε κρατάμε άμυνα. |
| Freeze Attack Probes | Δεν κάνουμε νέες επιθετικές δοκιμές. |
| Recovery Watch | Παρακολουθούμε αν η αγορά ανακάμπτει πραγματικά. |
| Market Breadth | Κοιτάμε αν ανεβαίνουν πολλά coins μαζί ή μόνο λίγα. |
| Target Hit | Το trade έφτασε στον στόχο κέρδους. |
| Stop Hit | Το trade έπεσε στο όριο ζημιάς. |
| Unlock | Η πλατφόρμα αρχίζει να επιτρέπει ξανά πιο προσεκτικές κινήσεις. |
Beginner Decision History
Latest Guidance
DO_NOT_TRADE
Decision Quality
PROTECTIVE
History
4
DO_NOT_TRADE Streak
4
Protective Streak
4
| Market | RISK_OFF |
|---|---|
| Phase 4 | PHASE_4_BLOCKED |
| Risk-off exit | HOLD_FREEZE |
| Avg probe net | -9.09% |
| Simple action | Συνέχισε την παρακολούθηση. Το σωστό τώρα είναι υπομονή. |
| Simple reason | Η πλατφόρμα βλέπει ακόμα άμυνα, αρνητικές δοκιμές ή ανεπαρκή ανάκαμψη. |
| Beginner decision patterns |
|---|
| Beginner Recommendation has kept saying DO_NOT_TRADE for 3+ observations. |
| Recent beginner decisions appear protective during weak market conditions. |
| Average attack probe return remains negative while beginner guidance is defensive. |
| Beginner guidance matches the central RISK_OFF market posture. |
Market State
State
RISK_OFF
Action
FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES
Risk Score
17
Recovery Score
0
Unlock
LOCKED
Confidence
HIGH
| Mode | MARKET_STATE_OBSERVE_ONLY |
|---|---|
| Next action | Freeze attack probes and observe until recovery/unlock improves |
| Breadth | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
| Recovery | WAIT_RECOVERY |
| Unlock trend | DETERIORATING |
| Reason | Value |
|---|---|
| Market breadth blocks attack probes | BTC or ETH breadth is weak |
| Market participation is weak | {"positive_1h":10,"positive_4h":30} |
| Recovery Watch is still waiting | WAIT_RECOVERY |
| BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering | - |
| Recovery unlock is locked | {"passed":0,"total":9,"high_missing":7} |
| Unlock progress is deteriorating | - |
| Attack probes remain net negative | {"net_return_percent":-8.8286999999999995480948200565762817859649658203125,"target_hit":0,"stop_hit":3} |
| M4 recommendation still has blockers | {"decision":"KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY","high_priority":3} |
| Leader | Status | 1h | 4h | 12h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | NOT_RECOVERING | -0.05% | -1.81% | -2.67% |
| ETHUSDT | NOT_RECOVERING | - | - | - |
| Unlock pattern in state |
|---|
| Unlock has remained LOCKED for 3+ observations. |
| Unlock progress is deteriorating across recent observations. |
| Leader recovery is not improving enough yet. |
| High-priority unlock blockers remain active. |
Risk-Off Journal
Verdict
FREEZE_ACTIVE
Freeze Signal
PROTECTIVE_FREEZE_ACTIVE
Risk-Off Streak
2
History
13
Avg Risk
14.20
Avg Probe Net
-10.75%
| Mode | RISK_OFF_JOURNAL_OBSERVE_ONLY |
|---|---|
| Next action | Continue risk-off observation |
| Last state | RISK_OFF |
| Last action | FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES |
| Blocked pressure cases | 10 |
| Risk-Off pattern |
|---|
| Attack probe evidence stayed negative during risk-off. |
| Freeze policy is protecting the system from reopening probes during weak market state. |
| Average probe return during risk-off remains negative. |
| Latest reasons | Market breadth blocks attack probes, Market participation is weak, Recovery Watch is still waiting, BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Unlock progress is deteriorating, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
|---|
| Time | State | Action | Risk | Recovery | Unlock | Probe Net | Reasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T18:07:15+03:00 | RISK_OFF | FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES | 17 | 0 | LOCKED | -8.83% | Market breadth blocks attack probes, Market participation is weak, Recovery Watch is still waiting, BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Unlock progress is deteriorating, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
| 2026-07-31T09:14:53+03:00 | RISK_OFF | FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES | 14 | 0 | LOCKED | -8.16% | Market breadth blocks attack probes, Market participation is weak, Recovery Watch is still waiting, BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
| 2026-07-31T08:19:59+03:00 | WATCH_MARKET | OBSERVE_ONLY | 7 | 6 | LOCKED | -8.11% | BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
| 2026-07-30T08:35:54+03:00 | RISK_OFF | FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES | 15 | 0 | LOCKED | -11.24% | Market breadth is cautious, Market participation is weak, Recovery Watch is still waiting, BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Unlock progress is deteriorating, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
| 2026-07-30T08:34:15+03:00 | RISK_OFF | FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES | 12 | 0 | LOCKED | -11.24% | Market breadth is cautious, Market participation is weak, Recovery Watch is still waiting, BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
| 2026-07-29T20:20:26+03:00 | RISK_OFF | FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES | 17 | 0 | LOCKED | -11.79% | Market breadth blocks attack probes, Market participation is weak, Recovery Watch is still waiting, BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Unlock progress is deteriorating, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
| 2026-07-29T16:11:47+03:00 | RISK_OFF | FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES | 17 | 0 | LOCKED | -10.81% | Market breadth blocks attack probes, Market participation is weak, Recovery Watch is still waiting, BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Unlock progress is deteriorating, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
| 2026-07-29T08:23:02+03:00 | WATCH_MARKET | OBSERVE_ONLY | 7 | 6 | LOCKED | -10.81% | BTC/ETH leaders are not recovering, Recovery unlock is locked, Attack probes remain net negative, M4 recommendation still has blockers |
Risk-Off Exit Plan
Exit Verdict
HOLD_FREEZE
Score
0 / 9
Market State
RISK_OFF
Recovery
WAIT_RECOVERY
Probe Net
-8.83%
Confidence
HIGH
| Mode | RISK_OFF_EXIT_PLAN_OBSERVE_ONLY |
|---|---|
| Next action | Keep attack probes frozen and keep running Watch Next |
| Breadth | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
| Unlock | LOCKED | progress 0.00% | DETERIORATING |
| Risk-Off Journal | FREEZE_ACTIVE | PROTECTIVE_FREEZE_ACTIVE |
| Missing for exit |
|---|
| Market State still freezes attack probes |
| Market breadth does not fully allow attack observation |
| Recovery Watch has not confirmed recovery |
| BTC and ETH are not both recovering |
| Unlock progress is not strong enough |
| Stopped probe pressure is still too high |
| Attack probes still have no target-hit evidence |
| Risk-Off Journal still says the freeze is protecting the system |
| M4 Recommendation Engine still has high-priority blockers |
| Exit pattern |
|---|
| Previous attack probe batch failed before proving target-hit edge. |
| Market posture and unlock trend are both defensive. |
| Phase 4 remains blocked while exit criteria are unresolved. |
| Check | Status | Actual | Required | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| market_not_risk_off | FAIL | {"state":"RISK_OFF","action":"FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES"} | market state not RISK_OFF and action not FREEZE_ATTACK_PROBES | Market State still freezes attack probes |
| breadth_allows_attack_observation | FAIL | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | ALLOW_ATTACK_PROBES | Market breadth does not fully allow attack observation |
| recovery_confirmed | FAIL | WAIT_RECOVERY | CONFIRMED_RECOVERY | Recovery Watch has not confirmed recovery |
| leaders_recovering | FAIL | - | >= 2 BTC/ETH leaders recovering | BTC and ETH are not both recovering |
| unlock_progress_improving | FAIL | {"status":"LOCKED","progress":0,"trend":"DETERIORATING"} | NEAR_UNLOCK/UNLOCK_READY or progress >= 50% without deterioration | Unlock progress is not strong enough |
| probe_pressure_clear | FAIL | {"net_return_percent":-8.8286999999999995480948200565762817859649658203125,"stop_hit":3} | stop_hit <= 1 or probe net > -2% | Stopped probe pressure is still too high |
| target_hit_evidence | FAIL | - | > 0 target hits | Attack probes still have no target-hit evidence |
| freeze_no_longer_protective | FAIL | {"journal_verdict":"FREEZE_ACTIVE","freeze_signal":"PROTECTIVE_FREEZE_ACTIVE","avg_probe_net_during_risk_off":-10.74810000000000087538865045644342899322509765625,"risk_off_streak":2} | freeze not protective and risk-off probe average >= 0% | Risk-Off Journal still says the freeze is protecting the system |
| m4_recommendation_clear | FAIL | {"decision":"KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY","high_priority":3} | no KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY decision and no high-priority blockers | M4 Recommendation Engine still has high-priority blockers |
M4 Learning Snapshot
Verdict
OBSERVE_ONLY
Phase 4
PHASE_4_BLOCKED
Recovery
WAIT_RECOVERY
Probe Net
-8.83%
Profit Lock Benefit
9.76
Failed Gates
6
| Breadth | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
|---|---|
| Edge strategies | 1 |
| Recommendations | 6 |
| Learning recommendations |
|---|
| Keep Phase 4 blocked until readiness gates pass. |
| Do not open new attack probes until Recovery Watch confirms recovery. |
| Keep attack mode blocked while breadth gate is not allowing probes. |
| Attack probe evidence is still negative; require target-hit evidence before Phase 4 attack path. |
| Preserve extra confirmation rules from Attack Failure Review. |
| Profit-lock simulation remains useful as safety evidence, not as standalone profit edge. |
| Failed Phase 4 gate | Actual | Required | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| Armed profit-lock observations | 2 | >= 5 | Need at least 5 armed observations |
| Attack probe evidence | {"net_return_percent":-8.8286999999999995480948200565762817859649658203125,"target_hit":0} | net > 0 and target_hit > 0 | Attack probes have not shown positive evidence yet |
| Attack Breadth Gate | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | ALLOW_ATTACK_PROBES | Market breadth is not allowing new attack probes |
| Attack Recovery Gate | WAIT_ATTACK_RECOVERY | ALLOW_ATTACK_RECOVERY_PROBES | Attack recovery has not confirmed a safe re-entry window |
| Attack Failure Review | ADD_MARKET_BREADTH_CONFIRMATION | not ADD_MARKET_BREADTH_CONFIRMATION / REQUIRE_TREND_CONFIRMATION | Attack failure review still requires additional confirmation |
| Stopped attack probes | 3 | <= 1 | Too many recent attack probes hit stop |
M4 Learning History
History
23
Phase 4 Blocked
23
Wait Recovery
2
Avg Probe Net
-10.72%
Avg Lock Benefit
-13.16
Failed Gate Trend
FLAT
| Latest learning | OBSERVE_ONLY |
|---|---|
| Latest recovery | WAIT_RECOVERY |
| Probe trend | IMPROVING |
| Profit-lock trend | FLAT |
| Learning patterns |
|---|
| Phase 4 has remained blocked for 3+ learning snapshots. |
| Attack probe history remains net negative. |
| Time | Learning | Phase 4 | Recovery | Breadth | Probe Net | Failed Gates |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T18:07:15+03:00 | OBSERVE_ONLY | PHASE_4_BLOCKED | WAIT_RECOVERY | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | -8.83% | 6 |
| 2026-07-31T09:14:52+03:00 | OBSERVE_ONLY | PHASE_4_BLOCKED | WAIT_RECOVERY | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | -8.16% | 6 |
| 2026-07-31T08:19:58+03:00 | OBSERVE_ONLY | PHASE_4_BLOCKED | EARLY_RECOVERY | ALLOW_ATTACK_PROBES | -8.11% | 5 |
| 2026-07-30T08:35:54+03:00 | OBSERVE_ONLY | PHASE_4_BLOCKED | WAIT_RECOVERY | CAUTION_MARKET_BREADTH | -11.24% | 6 |
| 2026-07-30T08:34:15+03:00 | OBSERVE_ONLY | PHASE_4_BLOCKED | WAIT_RECOVERY | CAUTION_MARKET_BREADTH | -11.24% | 6 |
| 2026-07-29T20:20:26+03:00 | OBSERVE_ONLY | PHASE_4_BLOCKED | WAIT_RECOVERY | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | -11.79% | 6 |
| 2026-07-29T16:11:46+03:00 | OBSERVE_ONLY | PHASE_4_BLOCKED | WAIT_RECOVERY | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | -10.81% | 7 |
| 2026-07-29T08:23:02+03:00 | OBSERVE_ONLY | PHASE_4_BLOCKED | EARLY_RECOVERY | ALLOW_ATTACK_PROBES | -10.81% | 6 |
M4 Recommendation Engine
Decision
KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY
High Priority
3
Recommendations
4
History
23
Probe Avg
-10.72%
Lock Avg
-13.16
| Mode | RECOMMENDATION_OBSERVE_ONLY |
|---|---|
| Next action | Keep Watch Next running until recovery and attack evidence improve |
| Latest Phase 4 | PHASE_4_BLOCKED |
| Latest recovery | WAIT_RECOVERY |
| Action | Priority | Reason | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| KEEP_PHASE4_BLOCKED | HIGH | Phase 4 is still failing readiness checks. | {"latest_phase4_verdict":"PHASE_4_BLOCKED","phase4_blocked_streak":23,"latest_failed_gates":6,"avg_failed_gates":5.91304347999999979634822011576034128665924072265625} |
| KEEP_ATTACK_PROBES_BLOCKED | HIGH | Recovery is not confirmed, so new attack probes should remain blocked. | {"latest_recovery_signal":"WAIT_RECOVERY","wait_recovery_streak":2,"latest_breadth_status":"BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH"} |
| REQUIRE_TARGET_HIT_EVIDENCE | HIGH | Attack probes have not proven positive edge yet. | {"avg_probe_net_return_percent":-10.71866087000000078433004091493785381317138671875,"probe_net_trend":"IMPROVING","latest_target_hit":0,"latest_stop_hit":3} |
| KEEP_EDGE_STRATEGIES_IN_VIRTUAL_REVIEW | MEDIUM | At least one strategy has edge evidence, but Phase 4 still needs broader gates to pass. | {"edge_strategy_count":1} |
| Pattern used |
|---|
| Phase 4 has remained blocked for 3+ learning snapshots. |
| Attack probe history remains net negative. |
Recovery Unlock Criteria
Status
LOCKED
Checks
0 / 9
High Missing
7
Recovery
WAIT_RECOVERY
Probe Net
-8.83%
Phase 4
PHASE_4_BLOCKED
| Mode | UNLOCK_CRITERIA_OBSERVE_ONLY |
|---|---|
| Next action | WAIT |
| Breadth | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
| M4 decision | KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY |
| Missing action |
|---|
| Wait for breadth to stop blocking attacks. |
| Wait until broad market participation improves. |
| Wait for both BTC and ETH to become RECOVERING. |
| Recovery Watch must move away from WAIT_RECOVERY. |
| Recovery Gate must clear all blocking checks. |
| Unlock check | Status | Actual | Required | Missing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market breadth allows attack observation | FAIL | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | ALLOW_ATTACK_PROBES or CAUTION_MARKET_BREADTH | Wait for breadth to stop blocking attacks. |
| 1h and 4h participation are strong enough | FAIL | {"positive_1h":10,"positive_4h":30} | 1h >= 60% and 4h >= 55% | Wait until broad market participation improves. |
| BTC and ETH confirm recovery | FAIL | - | 2 recovering leaders | Wait for both BTC and ETH to become RECOVERING. |
| Recovery signal is confirmed | FAIL | WAIT_RECOVERY | EARLY_RECOVERY or CONFIRMED_RECOVERY | Recovery Watch must move away from WAIT_RECOVERY. |
| Recovery gate allows probes | FAIL | WAIT_ATTACK_RECOVERY | ALLOW_ATTACK_RECOVERY_PROBES | Recovery Gate must clear all blocking checks. |
| Stopped probe pressure is low | FAIL | 3 | <= 1 stopped probe | Stopped probes are still too many for a new attack batch. |
| Attack probes have target-hit evidence | FAIL | {"target_hit":0,"net_return_percent":-8.8286999999999995480948200565762817859649658203125} | target_hit > 0 and probe net > 0 | Need at least one target hit and positive probe net before attack path improves. |
| Phase 4 readiness is close enough | FAIL | {"verdict":"PHASE_4_BLOCKED","passed":4,"total":10} | PHASE_4_READY or >= 8/10 checks | Phase 4 readiness is still too weak for controlled enforcement. |
| M4 recommendation has no high blockers | FAIL | {"decision":"KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY","high_priority":3} | Decision not KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY and high blockers = 0 | Recommendation Engine still sees high-priority blockers. |
| Leader | Status | 1h | 4h | 12h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTCUSDT | NOT_RECOVERING | -0.05% | -1.81% | -2.67% |
| ETHUSDT | NOT_RECOVERING | - | - | - |
Unlock Progress Memory
Latest
LOCKED
Progress
0.00%
Best Progress
33.33%
Trend
DETERIORATING
Locked Streak
17
High Missing
7
| Mode | UNLOCK_PROGRESS_MEMORY_OBSERVE_ONLY |
|---|---|
| Latest recovery | WAIT_RECOVERY |
| Latest breadth | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
| M4 decision | KEEP_OBSERVE_ONLY |
| Unlock pattern |
|---|
| Unlock has remained LOCKED for 3+ observations. |
| Unlock progress is deteriorating across recent observations. |
| Leader recovery is not improving enough yet. |
| High-priority unlock blockers remain active. |
| Time | Status | Progress | Checks | High Missing | Recovery | Breadth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31T18:07:15+03:00 | LOCKED | 0.00% | 0 / 9 | 7 | WAIT_RECOVERY | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
| 2026-07-31T09:14:52+03:00 | LOCKED | 0.00% | 0 / 9 | 7 | WAIT_RECOVERY | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
| 2026-07-31T08:19:58+03:00 | LOCKED | 33.33% | 3 / 9 | 4 | EARLY_RECOVERY | ALLOW_ATTACK_PROBES |
| 2026-07-30T08:35:54+03:00 | LOCKED | 11.11% | 1 / 9 | 6 | WAIT_RECOVERY | CAUTION_MARKET_BREADTH |
| 2026-07-30T08:34:15+03:00 | LOCKED | 11.11% | 1 / 9 | 6 | WAIT_RECOVERY | CAUTION_MARKET_BREADTH |
| 2026-07-29T20:20:26+03:00 | LOCKED | 0.00% | 0 / 9 | 7 | WAIT_RECOVERY | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
| 2026-07-29T16:11:47+03:00 | LOCKED | 0.00% | 0 / 9 | 7 | WAIT_RECOVERY | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH |
| 2026-07-29T08:23:02+03:00 | LOCKED | 33.33% | 3 / 9 | 4 | EARLY_RECOVERY | ALLOW_ATTACK_PROBES |
Attack Probe Mode
Mode
OBSERVE_ONLY
Total Probes
4
Watching
1
Target Hit
0
Stop Hit
3
Net Return
-8.83%
| Best probe | BNBUSDT 1.68% |
|---|---|
| Worst probe | SOLUSDT -3.93% |
| Rule | NEAR_ATTACK and SCOUT_ATTACK plus 24h opportunity memory, 1.50% stop, 3.00% target, estimated 0.30% round-trip cost. |
| Symbol | Status | Source | Profile | Entry | Latest | Stop | Target | Return | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOLUSDT | STOP_HIT | ATTACK_CANDIDATE_LAB | BALANCED_PROBE | 75.96 | 75.96 | 74.82 | 78.24 | -0.30% | -0.30% | -4.62% |
| ETHUSDT | STOP_HIT | ATTACK_CANDIDATE_LAB | BALANCED_PROBE | 1,944.38 | 1,944.38 | 1,915.21 | 2,002.71 | -0.30% | -0.30% | -4.16% |
| BTCUSDT | STOP_HIT | ATTACK_CANDIDATE_LAB | BALANCED_PROBE | 65,035.00 | 62,650.16 | 64,059.48 | 66,986.05 | -3.97% | -0.30% | -3.97% |
| BNBUSDT | WATCHING | ATTACK_CANDIDATE_LAB | BALANCED_PROBE | 574.83 | 586.20 | 566.21 | 592.07 | 1.68% | 2.39% | -1.51% |
Attack Failure Review
Mode
OBSERVE_ONLY
Stopped
3
Watching
1
Net Return
-10.81%
Recommendation
ADD_MARKET_BREADTH_CONFIRMATION
| Market-wide drop | 3 |
|---|---|
| False positive confidence | 0 |
| Needs trend confirmation | 0 |
| Next gate | Add trend and market-breadth confirmation before any stronger attack mode. |
| Symbol | Status | Confidence | Discovery | Return | Classification | Severity | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOLUSDT | STOP_HIT | 77 | 83 | -3.63% | MARKET_WIDE_DROP | HIGH | Most attack probes failed while BTC or ETH also stopped |
| ETHUSDT | STOP_HIT | 75 | 80 | -3.27% | MARKET_WIDE_DROP | HIGH | Most attack probes failed while BTC or ETH also stopped |
| BTCUSDT | STOP_HIT | 75 | 80 | -2.59% | MARKET_WIDE_DROP | HIGH | Most attack probes failed while BTC or ETH also stopped |
| BNBUSDT | WATCHING | 74 | 82 | -0.30% | SURVIVED_INITIAL_DROP | LOW | Probe did not hit stop yet |
Phase 4 Readiness
Verdict
PHASE_4_BLOCKED
Passed
4 / 10
Failed
6
Mode
OBSERVE_ONLY
| Next action | Resolve blocking gates before Phase 4 enforcement |
|---|---|
| Policy | Readiness only. Does not enable Phase 4 behavior. |
| Gate | Status | Actual | Required | Blocking reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Profit-lock triggered simulations | PASS | 5 | >= 3 | - |
| Profit-lock simulation benefit | PASS | 9.75988387 | >= 5.00 USDT | - |
| Negative-benefit triggered cases | PASS | - | <= 1 | - |
| Armed profit-lock observations | FAIL | 2 | >= 5 | Need at least 5 armed observations |
| EDGE_FOUND strategy available | PASS | 1 | >= 1 | - |
| Attack probe evidence | FAIL | {"net_return_percent":-8.8286999999999995480948200565762817859649658203125,"target_hit":0} | net > 0 and target_hit > 0 | Attack probes have not shown positive evidence yet |
| Attack Breadth Gate | FAIL | BLOCK_MARKET_BREADTH | ALLOW_ATTACK_PROBES | Market breadth is not allowing new attack probes |
| Attack Recovery Gate | FAIL | WAIT_ATTACK_RECOVERY | ALLOW_ATTACK_RECOVERY_PROBES | Attack recovery has not confirmed a safe re-entry window |
| Attack Failure Review | FAIL | ADD_MARKET_BREADTH_CONFIRMATION | not ADD_MARKET_BREADTH_CONFIRMATION / REQUIRE_TREND_CONFIRMATION | Attack failure review still requires additional confirmation |
| Stopped attack probes | FAIL | 3 | <= 1 | Too many recent attack probes hit stop |
| Blocking reasons |
|---|
| Need at least 5 armed observations |
| Attack probes have not shown positive evidence yet |
| Market breadth is not allowing new attack probes |
| Attack recovery has not confirmed a safe re-entry window |
| Attack failure review still requires additional confirmation |
| Too many recent attack probes hit stop |
Strategy Policy
Status
OBSERVE_ONLY
Promote
0
Keep Testing
0
Watch Risk
0
Pause
6
| Allowed for more virtual testing | PROMOTE and KEEP_TESTING strategies only |
|---|---|
| Blocked from Phase 4 promotion | PAUSE strategies and WATCH_RISK strategies with unresolved worst-trade risk |
| Paper enforcement gate | Needs 3 triggered simulations, 5.00+ benefit and stable state health. |
| Next action | Collect more strategy and profit-lock samples |
Strategy / Case Performance
| Case / Strategy | Sessions | Closed Trades | Win Rate | Closed Net | Open PnL | Net With Open | Gate | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CONSERVATIVE / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET | 2 | 23 | 43.48% | -3.85 | 0.00 | -3.85 |
PAUSE
Negative net result |
5.73 | -3.62 |
| CASE_B_BALANCED_COMPOUNDING | 1 | 7 | 57.14% | -4.97 | 0.00 | -4.97 |
PAUSE
Negative net result |
6.80 | -4.69 |
| BALANCED / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / HARD_TARGET | 1 | 7 | 14.29% | -30.14 | 0.00 | -30.14 |
PAUSE
Negative net result |
1.36 | -9.06 |
| AGGRESSIVE / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / HARD_TARGET | 1 | 11 | 27.27% | -358.87 | 0.00 | -358.87 |
PAUSE
Negative net result |
164.29 | -144.57 |
| AGGRESSIVE / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET | 5 | 32 | 56.25% | -1,725.32 | 0.00 | -1,725.32 |
PAUSE
Negative net result |
204.52 | -584.27 |
| BALANCED / DYNAMIC_COMPOUNDING / TRAILING_TARGET RUNNING 1 | 43 | 507 | 37.08% | -2,296.18 | 163.95 | -2,132.23 |
PAUSE
Negative net result |
277.62 | -189.16 |
Latest Decisions
| Time | Type | Symbol | Action | Confidence | Regime | Size | Heat | Reasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18T22:47:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | AVAXUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 55 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_55
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T22:47:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T22:32:16Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | AVAXUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 56 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_56
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T22:32:16Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 55 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_55
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T22:17:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | AVAXUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 56 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_56
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T22:17:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 55 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_55
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T22:02:16Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 56 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_56
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T21:47:16Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T21:47:16Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | BTCUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 66 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_66
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T21:32:17Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | XRPUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_64
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T21:32:17Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | BTCUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 66 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_66
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T21:02:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | DOGEUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 59 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_59
REGIME_NEUTRAL
MOMENTUM_WEAK
VOLUME_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T21:02:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | BTCUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 65 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_65
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T19:02:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 52 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_52
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T19:02:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | XRPUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 62 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_62
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T19:02:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | SOLUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_64
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T19:02:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | BTCUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 65 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_65
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:47:11Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | AVAXUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 59 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_59
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:47:11Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | XRPUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 63 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_63
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:47:11Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | SOLUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_64
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:47:11Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | BTCUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 65 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_65
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | DOGEUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 60 | sideways | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_60
REGIME_SIDEWAYS
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | AVAXUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 61 | sideways | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_61
REGIME_SIDEWAYS
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | sideways | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_SIDEWAYS
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | XRPUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | sideways | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_64
REGIME_SIDEWAYS
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | SOLUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | sideways | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_64
REGIME_SIDEWAYS
VOLUME_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | BTCUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 67 | sideways | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_67
REGIME_SIDEWAYS
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:47:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | DOGEUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 60 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_60
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:47:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | XRPUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 62 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_62
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:47:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | SOLUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_64
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:47:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ETHUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_64
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:47:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | BTCUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 65 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_65
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:32:12Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | DOGEUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 59 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_59
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:17:18Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | DOGEUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 59 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_59
REGIME_NEUTRAL
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:17:18Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:17:18Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | SOLUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 62 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_62
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:02:17Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T17:02:17Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | SOLUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 61 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_61
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T12:17:14Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 54 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_54
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T10:32:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | bear | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_BEAR
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T10:17:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 54 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_54
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T10:02:12Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | bear | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_BEAR
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T09:47:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | bear | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_BEAR
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T04:02:20Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | AVAXUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 55 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_55
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T03:47:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | DOGEUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_53
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T03:47:13Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | XRPUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 59 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_59
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLUME_STRONG
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T03:32:18Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | AVAXUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 54 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_54
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T03:32:18Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | ADAUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 52 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_52
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T03:17:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | AVAXUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 54 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_54
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
| 2026-10-18T03:17:15Z | SHADOW_VALIDATOR_REJECT | DOGEUSDT | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 56 | neutral | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CONFIDENCE_56
REGIME_NEUTRAL
VOLATILITY_WEAK
CONFIDENCE_BELOW_MINIMUM
|
Policy
| Mode | PAPER_TRADING_ONLY |
|---|---|
| State Schema | 1.0 |
| History Limit | 500 |
| Max Heat | 50.00% |
| Soft Heat | 40.00% |
| Max Single | 7.00% |
Calibration
Avg Shadow Confidence
59.22
Max Shadow Confidence
74.00 XRPUSDT
Near Threshold 75-79
0
Agreement Rate
100.00%
| Shadow reviews | 496 |
|---|---|
| Validator/v3 agreement | 496 |
| Potential conflicts | 0 |
| Calibration signal | Validator and v3 are currently aligned. |
Daily Review
Review Date
2026-07-26
Decisions Today
59
Avg Confidence
66.31
Profit Lock Saved Risk
7.28
| Generated | 2026-07-26T15:49:14Z |
|---|---|
| Shadow reviews | 59 |
| Trade decisions | 0 |
| Max confidence | 68.00 BTCUSDT |
| Near threshold 75-79 | 0 |
| Potential conflicts | 0 |
| Profit lock observations | 24 |
| Profit lock protective actions | 4 |
| Best saved-risk case | ZECUSDT MOVE_STOP_TO_BREAKEVEN 7.28 |
| Recommendation | KEEP_THRESHOLDS |
Profit Lock Advisor
Mode
OBSERVE_ONLY
Observed This Run
3
Protective Actions
28
Saved Risk Potential
92.97
| Time | Symbol | Action | Return | Progress | Current Stop | Suggested Stop | Saved Risk | Reasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 02:02:11 | SNDKBUSDT | MOVE_STOP_TO_BREAKEVEN | 2.57% | 64.33% | 1,231.09 | 1,256.22 | 25.12 41.41% |
TARGET_PROGRESS_HALF
REMOVE_DOWNSIDE_RISK
|
| 2026-10-19 02:02:11 | KORUBUSDT | MOVE_STOP_TO_BREAKEVEN | 2.03% | 50.64% | 10.09 | 10.30 | 0.21 46.72% |
TARGET_PROGRESS_HALF
REMOVE_DOWNSIDE_RISK
|
| 2026-10-19 02:02:11 | ETHUSDT | HOLD | 0.83% | 20.72% | 2,319.19 | 2,319.19 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-19 01:47:09 | SNDKBUSDT | LOCK_PARTIAL_PROFIT | 3.08% | 76.90% | 1,231.09 | 1,272.97 | 41.88 62.50% |
TARGET_PROGRESS_STRONG
PROTECT_OPEN_PROFIT
TREND_STRONG
|
| 2026-10-19 01:47:09 | KORUBUSDT | LOCK_PARTIAL_PROFIT | 3.19% | 79.71% | 10.09 | 10.44 | 0.35 62.03% |
TARGET_PROGRESS_STRONG
PROTECT_OPEN_PROFIT
TREND_STRONG
|
| 2026-10-19 01:47:09 | ETHUSDT | HOLD | 0.95% | 23.63% | 2,319.19 | 2,319.19 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-19 01:17:09 | SNDKBUSDT | MOVE_STOP_TO_BREAKEVEN | 2.46% | 61.55% | 1,231.09 | 1,256.22 | 25.12 42.38% |
TARGET_PROGRESS_HALF
REMOVE_DOWNSIDE_RISK
|
| 2026-10-19 01:17:09 | KORUBUSDT | MOVE_STOP_TO_BREAKEVEN | 2.70% | 67.60% | 10.09 | 10.30 | 0.21 40.31% |
TARGET_PROGRESS_HALF
REMOVE_DOWNSIDE_RISK
|
| 2026-10-19 01:17:09 | ETHUSDT | HOLD | 0.63% | 15.63% | 2,319.19 | 2,319.19 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-19 00:47:11 | SNDKBUSDT | HOLD | 0.88% | 21.89% | 1,231.09 | 1,231.09 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-19 00:17:10 | SNDKBUSDT | HOLD | 0.19% | 4.70% | 1,231.09 | 1,231.09 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-19 00:02:07 | SNDKBUSDT | HOLD | 0.14% | 3.49% | 1,231.09 | 1,231.09 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-18 23:46:57 | SNDKBUSDT | HOLD | 0.34% | 8.55% | 1,231.09 | 1,231.09 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-18 23:01:51 | SNDKBUSDT | HOLD | -0.25% | 0.00% | 1,231.09 | 1,231.09 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
REGIME_CAUTION
|
| 2026-10-18 22:46:48 | SNDKBUSDT | HOLD | -0.53% | 0.00% | 1,231.09 | 1,231.09 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
REGIME_CAUTION
|
| 2026-10-18 22:31:59 | XRPUSDT | HOLD | -1.91% | 0.00% | 1.26 | 1.26 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
REGIME_CAUTION
|
| 2026-10-18 22:31:59 | SNDKBUSDT | HOLD | -0.38% | 0.00% | 1,231.09 | 1,231.09 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
REGIME_CAUTION
|
| 2026-10-18 22:17:06 | XRPUSDT | HOLD | -1.30% | 0.00% | 1.26 | 1.26 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-18 22:17:06 | SNDKBUSDT | HOLD | -0.28% | 0.00% | 1,231.09 | 1,231.09 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
| 2026-10-18 22:02:07 | XRPUSDT | HOLD | -1.61% | 0.00% | 1.26 | 1.26 | 0.00 0.00% |
PROFIT_LOCK_HOLD
|
Profit Lock Simulation
Mode
VIRTUAL_ONLY_OBSERVE
Armed
115
Triggered
76
Hypothetical PnL
1,420.78
Simulation Benefit
1,503.72
Negative Benefit
25 / 1
Enforcement Readiness
Status
NOT READY
Triggered
76 / 3
Benefit
1,503.72 / 5.00
Armed Observations
191 / 5
| Triggered simulations | 76 / 3 |
|---|---|
| Simulation benefit | 1,503.72 / 5.00 |
| Negative benefit cases | 25 / 1 |
| Armed observations | 191 / 5 |
| State health | OK |
| Next gate | Collect more triggered simulations before enforcement. |
Trigger Quality Review
Quality Rate
67.11%
Good Protection
51
Early Exit
25
Triggered Reviewed
76
| Symbol | Verdict | Benefit | Hypothetical PnL | Actual Current PnL | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DYMUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -104.18 | -8.28 | 95.90 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| OPUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 39.08 | -8.31 | -47.39 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| APTUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 22.61 | -4.11 | -26.72 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| QNTUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 60.58 | -8.45 | -69.02 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| AEROUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 111.99 | 38.87 | -73.13 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| TAOUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -43.40 | 16.42 | 59.82 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ONDOUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 33.64 | -8.10 | -41.74 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZECUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -9.45 | -4.31 | 5.15 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ARBUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 44.80 | -8.21 | -53.01 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| NEARUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -71.86 | 37.31 | 109.18 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| BTCUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 7.42 | 20.95 | 13.53 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| UNIUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -125.55 | -8.47 | 117.08 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ETHUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 38.88 | 35.41 | -3.47 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| SUIUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 25.70 | -4.20 | -29.89 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| NMRUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -41.71 | 20.20 | 61.91 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ALGOUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 54.76 | 18.56 | -36.20 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| GRAMUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 61.78 | -8.63 | -70.41 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| GRAMUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 48.00 | 18.54 | -29.46 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ARUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 114.39 | 40.00 | -74.39 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| PENGUUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 94.65 | 44.78 | -49.87 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| DOGEUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -9.29 | -8.64 | 0.65 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ICPUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -73.81 | 33.48 | 107.29 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| UNIUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 47.03 | 17.75 | -29.28 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| CAKEUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 34.36 | -4.43 | -38.79 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| REZUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 106.22 | 38.84 | -67.38 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZECUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 14.22 | -4.30 | -18.52 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ETHUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 48.96 | 19.93 | -29.02 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ETHFIUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 29.48 | 39.48 | 10.00 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| DOTUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 26.79 | -4.23 | -31.02 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZECUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -75.72 | 43.63 | 119.36 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| BCHUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 31.32 | -4.31 | -35.62 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZROUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 34.27 | -4.39 | -38.66 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| XLMUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 81.41 | 40.18 | -41.23 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| PROMUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 102.21 | 33.87 | -68.34 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| SAHARAUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 0.27 | 11.18 | 10.91 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZENUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 98.26 | 39.79 | -58.47 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ARBUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 106.25 | 46.14 | -60.11 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| SNDKBUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 94.10 | 35.53 | -58.57 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZECUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 53.72 | -8.81 | -62.53 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| PROMUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 42.37 | -8.73 | -51.10 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ETHUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -5.98 | 19.56 | 25.54 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| PYTHUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 110.05 | 42.07 | -67.97 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| CRCLBUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -5.77 | -4.32 | 1.44 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| BTCUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -2.37 | -8.71 | -6.35 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| POLUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 61.97 | -8.74 | -70.72 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZAMAUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 110.74 | 40.75 | -69.99 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| VIRTUALUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -44.60 | 19.12 | 63.72 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ETHFIUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 66.75 | -8.49 | -75.24 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ACEUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 82.22 | 38.48 | -43.74 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| UNIUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 52.89 | -8.99 | -61.88 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| FFUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -84.96 | -8.64 | 76.32 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ENAUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 40.78 | 39.15 | -1.63 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZROUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -86.49 | 35.90 | 122.39 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| SUIUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -41.54 | 18.41 | 59.94 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| WLDUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -132.61 | -8.75 | 123.86 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| SKHYBUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -20.04 | -4.48 | 15.56 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| AVAXUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -25.34 | 18.84 | 44.18 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| SKHYBUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 64.92 | -8.39 | -73.31 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZECUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -33.26 | 40.19 | 73.45 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| TUTUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 37.39 | 39.15 | 1.76 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| WLDUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 43.29 | -8.67 | -51.97 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| AVAXUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -12.40 | -8.66 | 3.74 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| DOGEUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 4.29 | -4.11 | -8.40 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| SPCXBUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 9.98 | -4.20 | -14.18 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| SNDKBUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -63.19 | 38.44 | 101.63 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| REUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 64.99 | -8.67 | -73.66 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| BABYUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 104.07 | 41.86 | -62.21 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| ZBTUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 17.75 | 33.38 | 15.63 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| SPCXBUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 30.68 | -8.55 | -39.23 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| SPCXBUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -52.03 | 40.98 | 93.01 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| BABYUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 47.22 | -8.61 | -55.83 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| UNIUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 43.83 | 248.35 | 204.52 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| VANAUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -39.30 | 215.15 | 254.45 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ONDOUSDT | EARLY_EXIT | -0.24 | 0.88 | 1.12 | Market recovered after protected exit |
| ZECUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 2.12 | -0.43 | -2.55 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| EPICUSDT | GOOD_PROTECTION | 3.35 | -0.43 | -3.77 | Protected exit improved outcome |
| Symbol | Status | Protected Stop | Latest Price | Distance To Stop | Latest Return | Hypothetical PnL | Actual Current PnL | Benefit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KORUBUSDT | ARMED | 10.44 | 10.53 |
0.09
0.89% |
2.03% | - | 66.61 | - |
| ETHUSDT | WATCHING | - | 2,392.11 |
-
- |
0.83% | - | 13.64 | - |
| SNDKBUSDT | ARMED | 1,272.97 | 1,291.77 |
18.80
1.48% |
2.57% | - | 83.69 | - |
| HBARUSDT | WATCHING | - | 0.09 |
-
- |
-1.48% | - | -25.34 | - |
| ZECUSDT | WATCHING | - | 1,119.64 |
-
- |
-2.01% | - | -34.70 | - |
| DOGEUSDT | WATCHING | - | 0.08 |
-
- |
-1.53% | - | -50.78 | - |
| XRPUSDT | WATCHING | - | 1.27 |
-
- |
-1.91% | - | -63.42 | - |
| HBARUSDT | ARMED | 0.08 | 0.09 |
0.00
2.75% |
2.49% | - | 41.91 | - |
| ZECUSDT | WATCHING | - | 1,154.12 |
-
- |
0.42% | - | 14.05 | - |
| SOXLBUSDT | WATCHING | - | 93.27 |
-
- |
-1.63% | - | -54.95 | - |
| TAOUSDT | WATCHING | - | 268.60 |
-
- |
-1.58% | - | -25.99 | - |
| ZECUSDT | WATCHING | - | 1,143.35 |
-
- |
-2.00% | - | -65.86 | - |
| ETHUSDT | WATCHING | - | 2,412.14 |
-
- |
-1.06% | - | -35.02 | - |
| SANDUSDT | ARMED | 0.06 | 0.06 |
0.00
1.73% |
2.87% | - | 92.08 | - |
| AUSDT | WATCHING | - | 0.11 |
-
- |
-1.61% | - | -52.46 | - |
| NEARUSDT | WATCHING | - | 5.09 |
-
- |
-0.73% | - | -12.05 | - |
| FILUSDT | WATCHING | - | 1.15 |
-
- |
-2.24% | - | -74.48 | - |
| WLDUSDT | WATCHING | - | 0.53 |
-
- |
-1.88% | - | -63.56 | - |
| PUMPUSDT | WATCHING | - | 0.00 |
-
- |
-1.76% | - | -59.43 | - |
| BCHUSDT | WATCHING | - | 278.80 |
-
- |
-2.09% | - | -35.28 | - |
Rejected Candidate Review
| Time | Symbol | Validator | v3 Action | Confidence | Regime | Validator Reasons |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18T22:47:14Z | AVAXUSDT | 19 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 55 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
AI score below 68
Breakout probability below 50
|
| 2026-10-18T22:47:14Z | ADAUSDT | 19 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
AI score below 68
Breakout probability below 50
|
| 2026-10-18T22:32:16Z | AVAXUSDT | 25 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 56 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
Breakout probability below 50
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T22:32:16Z | ADAUSDT | 31 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 55 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
Breakout probability below 50
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T22:17:15Z | AVAXUSDT | 25 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 56 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
Breakout probability below 50
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T22:17:15Z | ADAUSDT | 31 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 55 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
Breakout probability below 50
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T22:02:16Z | ADAUSDT | 31 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 56 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
Breakout probability below 50
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T21:47:16Z | ADAUSDT | 24 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
Breakout probability below 50
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T21:47:16Z | BTCUSDT | 32 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 66 | neutral |
AI score below 68
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T21:32:17Z | XRPUSDT | 35 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral |
AI score below 68
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T21:32:17Z | BTCUSDT | 33 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 66 | neutral |
AI score below 68
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T21:02:13Z | DOGEUSDT | 42 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 59 | neutral |
AI score below 68
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T21:02:13Z | BTCUSDT | 32 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 65 | neutral |
AI score below 68
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T19:02:13Z | ADAUSDT | 20 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 52 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
Breakout probability below 50
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T19:02:13Z | XRPUSDT | 31 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 62 | neutral |
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T19:02:13Z | SOLUSDT | 17 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
AI score below 68
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
|
| 2026-10-18T19:02:13Z | BTCUSDT | 31 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 65 | neutral |
AI score below 68
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T18:47:11Z | AVAXUSDT | 42 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 59 | neutral |
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T18:47:11Z | XRPUSDT | 32 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 63 | neutral |
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T18:47:11Z | SOLUSDT | 17 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
AI score below 68
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
|
| 2026-10-18T18:47:11Z | BTCUSDT | 32 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 65 | neutral |
AI score below 68
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | DOGEUSDT | 25 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 60 | sideways |
AI score below 68
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | AVAXUSDT | 42 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 61 | sideways |
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | ADAUSDT | 20 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 53 | sideways |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
Invalid or excessive stop distance
Breakout probability below 50
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | XRPUSDT | 32 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | sideways |
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | SOLUSDT | 16 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | sideways |
Risk grade must be A or B
Risk/reward below 1.60
AI score below 68
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
|
| 2026-10-18T18:02:14Z | BTCUSDT | 32 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 67 | sideways |
AI score below 68
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T17:47:15Z | DOGEUSDT | 30 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 60 | neutral |
AI score below 68
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T17:47:15Z | XRPUSDT | 33 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 62 | neutral |
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
| 2026-10-18T17:47:15Z | SOLUSDT | 32 | REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 64 | neutral |
Breakout probability below 50
Bearish timeframe conflict
Bearish timeframe agreement >= 60%
Composite quality score below 72
|
Discovery Preview
| Symbol | Discovery | Classification | v3 Confidence | Regime |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOXLBUSDT | 100 | WATCH | 78 | bull |
| INTCBUSDT | 97 | WATCH | 76 | bull |
| SNDKBUSDT | 96 | WATCH | 77 | bull |
| MUBUSDT | 96 | WATCH | 77 | bull |
| NEARUSDT | 91 | PAPER TRADE CANDIDATE | 80 | bull |
| SUIUSDT | 91 | PAPER TRADE CANDIDATE | 77 | bull |
| KORUBUSDT | 88 | WATCH | 73 | bull |
| XRPUSDT | 88 | WATCH | 77 | bull |
| SOLUSDT | 87 | WATCH | 78 | bull |
| ZECUSDT | 87 | WATCH | 76 | bull |
| TQQQBUSDT | 86 | PAPER TRADE CANDIDATE | 74 | bull |
| ARBUSDT | 85 | PAPER TRADE CANDIDATE | 74 | bull |
| DOGEUSDT | 85 | WATCH | 75 | bull |
| ETHUSDT | 84 | WATCH | 76 | bull |
| HYPEUSDT | 84 | WATCH | 75 | bull |
| CRCLBUSDT | 83 | PAPER TRADE CANDIDATE | 73 | bull |
| PEPEUSDT | 82 | WATCH | 73 | bull |
| FILUSDT | 82 | WATCH | 70 | bull |
| BNBUSDT | 79 | WATCH | 74 | bull |
| PUMPUSDT | 78 | WATCH | 70 | bull |
Action Distribution
| Action | Count |
|---|---|
| REJECT_CONFIDENCE | 500 |